Global Aging and Declining World Interest Rates.
How will the world-wide decline in real interest rates associated with global aging affect small open economies (SOEs) with aging populations? Lower interest rates will result in higher capital-labor ratios and increased wages; higher wages, in turn, will be passed on to pension benefits, exacerbati...
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| Main Author: | |
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| Other Authors: | , |
| Format: | Electronic eBook |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Washington :
International Monetary Fund,
2008.
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: |
Full text (MFA users only) |
| ISBN: | 9781451914139 145191413X |
| Local Note: | ProQuest Ebook Central |
Table of Contents:
- I. Introduction; II. The Model; A. Model Overview; B. Households; C. Firms; D. The Government; E. Equilibrium; F. Balanced Growth Equilibrium and Calibration; G. Demographic Transition; III. Baseline Simulations; A. Scenario 1: Constant World Interest Rates; B. Scenarios 2 and 3: Declining World Interest Rates; IV. Pension Reform Simulations; A. Description of Pension Reforms; B. Simulation Results for Constant Interest Rates; C. Pension Reform as Macroeconomic Insurance; V. Conclusions; Tables; 1. Variable Definition and Notation; 2. Household's Optimization Problems.
- 3. First Order Conditions-Private Household's Optimization Problem4. First Order Conditions-Public Household's Optimization Problem; 5. Calibration of the Model; 6. Pension Expenditure Reductions from Reforms; Figures; 1. Labor Skills Profile by Age; 2. Health Care Expenditure by Age Group; 3. Dependency Ratio in Model: Retired over Working Population; 4. Macroeconomic Results-Baseline Scenarios under Constant and Variable Interest Rates.; 5. Macroeconomic Results-Reform Scenarios under Constant and Variable Interest Rates.